Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew bids to get the new week off to a flyer with three stats-based selections at Galway, Ayr and Leicester on Monday, October 28th…
GALWAY 12.30
SPICY MARGARITA (system – Amo Racing-owned newcomers)
Owners Amo Racing have a good record with newcomers, regardless of age and who trains them. They’ve seen their colours carried to victory on 49 occasions from 237 runners (20.7% strike-rate) for a profit of £37.23 to a £1 level stake at SP. SPICY MARGARITA, a 150,000gns purchase, shouldn’t have a huge problem with the prevailing heavy ground on breeding and trainer Adrian Murray is six from 20 on this angle (+£30.25), including a 14-1 winner at Dundalk last Friday.
AYR 3.28
RATTLING ROAD (system – Lucinda Russell, first run after a wind operation, chasers only)
In-form Lucinda Russell has a seven from 50 record with chasers who were having their first run after a wind operation for a profit of £40.25 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those who were running in Class 4 or lower company were seven from 31 for a profit of £59.25. Point-to-point winner RATTLING ROAD showed promise over hurdles last term and can take a step forward now tackling regulation fences for the first time.
LEICESTER 4.25
BATAL ZABEEL (system – James Tate stable switchers)
James Tate does well at the first time of asking with horses he takes over from other yards, scoring with seven of the 29 qualifiers since the beginning of 2014 for a profit of £44.50 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 3.81, A/E = 1.84). Twelve of the 22 beaten horses also made the frame and BATAL ZABEEL can make a winning start for his new handler after leaving Kevin Ryan’s care. The son of Territories will relish the deep ground.
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Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets |
T&Cs apply. New cust only. Deposit & Place a Bet within 7 days, and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater, to be credited with 3x £10 Free Bets: 1 x £10 Horse Racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 Football. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+ BeGambleAware.org.
T&Cs apply. New cust only. Deposit & Place a Bet within 7 days, and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater, to be credited with 3x £10 Free Bets: 1 x £10 Horse Racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 Football. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+ BeGambleAware.org. |
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