Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.

Andrew found 8-1 Ffos Las winner BOOSTER BOB on Sunday and starts the new week with two stats-based picks on Monday, October 14th…

WINDSOR 4.15

URBAN HYDRANGEA (system – Cityscape, heavy going)

John Gallagher’s URBAN HYDRANGEA is a far from obvious pick in this 1m3.5f handicap but the daughter of Cityscape could be worth chancing on her first start outside of maiden/novice company on the all-weather. The three-year-old showed ability on her second start when a 150-1 sixth at Kempton and she’s bred to appreciate the switch to deep ground. Backing the sire’s progeny on heavy ground (based on race times not the official going) would have found nine winners from 45 bets for a profit of £23.95 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 5.57, A/E = 1.62). She needs to improve considerably, hence offers of around 50-1, but she’s worth chancing to small stakes at those sort of odds.

HEREFORD 5.05

VON HALLERS (system – Kim Bailey, early-season break-returners)

In-form Kim Bailey has an excellent recent record with his beak-returners in the early months of the peak jumps season, with those returning from a break of 150 days or longer in October, November and December landing 30 of their 115 starts (26.1% strike-rate) since 2021 for a profit of £54.92 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 18.74, A/E = 1.60). VON HALLERS will appreciate the return to hurdles after pulling up on her Rules chase debut here last spring and the overnight market move is encouraging.

	Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets T&Cs apply. New cust only. Deposit & Place a Bet within 7 days, and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater, to be credited with 3x £10 Free Bets: 1 x £10 Horse Racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 Football. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+ BeGambleAware.org. T&Cs apply. New cust only. Deposit & Place a Bet within 7 days, and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater, to be credited with 3x £10 Free Bets: 1 x £10 Horse Racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 Football. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+ BeGambleAware.org.	Claim Offer
Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets	T&Cs apply. New cust only. Deposit & Place a Bet within 7 days, and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater, to be credited with 3x £10 Free Bets: 1 x £10 Horse Racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 Football. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+ BeGambleAware.org. T&Cs apply. New cust only. Deposit & Place a Bet within 7 days, and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater, to be credited with 3x £10 Free Bets: 1 x £10 Horse Racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 Football. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+ BeGambleAware.org.	Claim Offer

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New Customers – Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets with BetUK

Over at online bookie BetUK, there’s a neat new customer offer where punters can sign up and get £30 in free bets after betting £10. Here are all the details:

• New customers aged 18 or over opt in and stake £10+ on any sporting event.
• The minimum odds for a qualifying bet are 1/2 (1.50).
• Once the qualifying bet settles 3x £10 free bets will be awarded to your account.
• Free bets must be used on 4 or more selections with odds of 3/10 (1.30) or greater.
• Void, cashed out, partially cashed out bets do not qualify.
• Each Way bets, system bets and profit boost are not permitted for qualifying bet.
• Free bets expire after 7 days of the qualifying bet settling, are non-withdrawable and stakes not returned with winnings.
• Further terms and conditions apply.

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