ITV Racing Cheltenham Trends On Day Two Of Showcase Meeting
As the action continues at Prestbury Park on Saturday for day two of the Showcase Meeting, we’ve for the key Cheltenham trends and stats for the five LIVE ITV races.
Cheltenham Trends and Stats For Showcase Meeting Day One (Saturday 26th Oct 2024)
The ITV Racing cameras are taking in five races from the Saturday Cheltenham Showcase Meeting, plus are also taking in races at Newbury and Doncaster – with the last-named including the final Group One of the flat season in Britain – the Futurity Trophy Stakes.
Back to the Prestbury Park action though and we’ve got the main Cheltenham trends to help you find the best profiles based on past winners of each of the LIVE ITV races.
The opening contest at 1:10pm has, however, only had three previous renewals but with the in-form Nigel Twiston-Davies yard winning the prize last year their former International Hurdle winner Guard Your Dreams is sure to be popular with the best horse racing betting sites in the UK.
While, with a 25% strike-rate with his chasers at Cheltenham, Irish trainer Gavin Cromwell’s runners should be respected too through the card. He’s got Dutch Schultz here in the opener.
1.10 – William Hill Top Price Guarantee Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV
- Only 3 previous runnings
- Trainers Nigel Twiston-Davies, Martin Keighley and Chris Gordon have won this race in the past
- 3/3 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
- 3/3 – Returned 5/1 or shorter
- 3/3 – Aged between 5-7
- No winning favourite as yet
- Trainer Gavin Cromwell has a 25% SR with his chasers at the track
- Trainer Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero has a 25% SR with his chasers at the track
- Jockey Sean Bowen is just 3-41 riding over fences at Cheltenham
Next up is the 1:45 – a Novices Hurdle and all eyes here will be on the recent Persian War Novices’ Hurdle second Intense Approach, who hails from the John McConnell yard that have won this race twice since 2020.
Champion jockey Harry Cobden also keeps the ride in a race he’ll be looking to win for the first time.
1.45 – William Hill Betting Done Properly Novices’ Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo) 3m ITV
- 9/9 – 7/2 or shorter in the betting
- 9/9 – Favourites finished in the top 2
- 8/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
- 8/9 – Top 3 finish last time out
- 7/9 – Had won over 3m hurdles before
- 7/9 – French or Irish bred
- 7/9 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
- 6/9 – Won last time out
- 5/9 – Favourites
- 3/9 – Won at Warwick last time out
- 2/9 – Won at Perth last time out
- 2/9 – Trained by John C McConnell
- The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 2/1
Onto the 3m1f Handicap Chase at 2:20pm next and this is a race the Irish have won twice in the last three runnings.
It could also feature Broadway Boy, who ran well behind Flooring Porter at this meeting last year and loves Cheltenham with form figures of 2-1-1 here.
It could also pay to keep an eye on the Kim Bailey runner – Does He Know – with the yard in flying form at the moment.
2.20 –William Hill Committed To Top Priced Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f ITV
- 15/17 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
- 15/17 – Won over at least 3m
- 12/17 – Irish bred winners
- 12/17 – First run of the season
- 11/17 – Unplaced favourites
- 10/17 – Rated 134 or higher
- 10/17 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
- 8/17 – Had won at Cheltenham previously
- 8/17 – Unplaced in their last race
- 7/17 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
- 1/17 – Favourites (none in the last 10)
- 2 of the last 3 winners Irish trained
- Whacker Clan (12/1) won the race in 2023
At 2:55pm we’ve the Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle and with a 36% strike-rate with her hurdles at the track – the Lucy Wadham runner Zain Night will have this Cheltenham trend on its side.
It could also pay to note that 10 of the last 15 winners of this race carried 10-13 or less in weight and had also raced at Cheltenham in the past.
2.55 – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 2m7f208y ITV
- 11/15 – 17/2 or bigger in the betting
- 10/15 – Carried 10-13 or less
- 10/15 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
- 10/15 – Raced at Cheltenham before (4 winners)
- 9/15 – Favourites unplaced
- 9/15 – Placed in the top 3 in last run
- 8/15 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
- 7/15 – Irish Bred
- 6/15 – Won last race
- 3/15 – Favourites (2 of the last 7)
- 2/15 – Mare winners
- 2/15 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
- 4 of the last 9 winners ridden by a claiming rider
- 7 of the last 10 winners carried 10-10 or more
The final race on the Cheltenham ITV Racing schedule on Saturday is the Materson Holdings Hurdle at 3:30pm. This race will feature Givemefive, who is owned by top golfers Brooks Koepka and Graeme McDowell
Both will face a stern test in the improving Irish raider Bottler’secret, who comes over from the Gavin Cromwell yard and caught the eye on his last run at Punchestown in May when second to the useful Kargese.
3.30 – Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV
- 11/15 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
- 11/15 – Had won 2 or less times over hurdles
- 9/15 – Priced 10/3 or shorter
- 9/15 – Placed last time out
- 6/15 – Placed favourites
- 5/15 – Irish bred winners
- 4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 5 and both ridden by Harry Cobden)
- 4/15 – Irish-trained winners
- 4/15 – Winning favourites (just 1 in the last 10)
- Only 1 winning favourite in last 10 runnings
Here at SportsCasting, you can also get daily horse racing insights and expert advice from Andrew Mount – who provides his best bets and SpreadEx analysis each day.
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