Strong levels of M&A activity are expected across UK manufacturing for the remainder of 2024, as dealmakers see a rise in business confidence.

According to accountancy and business advisory firm BDO, M&A activity looks set to gain momentum in the final quarter of the year, as long as the political and tax backdrop remains conducive to dealmaking. However, reports of a potential rise in capital gains tax in next month’s Autumn Budget could impact sentiment towards M&A transactions.

BDO’s latest Manufacturing Deals Review shows that in the first half of 2024, 307 deals were completed in the sector, across the likes of engineering services, food & drink, building products and packaging and materials. Of these, 18% were buy-outs, with cross-border deals representing a third of transactions (34%).

Roger Buckley, deal advisory partner, industrials and manufacturing, at BDO, said: “While overall deal volumes remained relatively steady compared to 2023 figures, we expect to see strong levels of M&A activity over the coming months, with the market keeping a watchful eye on the Chancellor’s first Budget announcement at the end of October.

“Manufacturing remains one of the most resilient sectors, with a wide range of market drivers motivating M&A activity. This includes ESG, with the circular economy becoming a growing feature in manufacturing deals , reaching across all sub-sectors. Unsurprisingly, for the third year in a row, the sector has attracted the most circular economy-related investment, accounting for over a third of total deals by volume.”

In 2023, manufacturing saw a 25% increase in circular economy deal volumes, combined with the total deal value soaring to over £400 million of invested capital. The average disclosed deal size increased from £6.7 million to £12.2 million.

Buckley said: “The correlation between manufacturers making their businesses more sustainable and higher circular economy deal volumes is clear to see. More and more UK manufacturers are embracing circularity – a trend that is accelerating due to strong consumer attitudes towards sustainability and investors showing a significant interest in businesses addressing this issue.”

According to a BDO/Make UK survey of more than 200 SMEs in the sector, 40% of respondents believe that operating a circular business model will be more profitable than a linear model, suggesting an increase in manufacturers’ understanding of the economic benefits of circularity. The survey also showed that more than half of businesses (56%) plan to make circular changes in the next three years, with nearly a third (32%) stating that circular or sustainability credentials differentiate them from their competitors.

Rory McPherson, deal advisory partner at BDO, added: “Given the pace at which society’s attitude towards sustainability continues to change, it won’t be long before positive environmental credentials are seen as a minimum standard as opposed to a cherry on the top.
“For those who resist change without good reason, the lack of circular and sustainable practices will inevitably become a negative differentiator and dissuade customers from engaging. At the point the customer stops buying, it might be too late.”