Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew was among the winners again on Friday and has three stats-based selections on Saturday, September 28th…
HAYDOCK 1.30
WHISKEY PETE (system – Night of Thunder, good to soft or softer going, Flat)
Progeny of the sire Night Of Thunder have a fine record when racing on the Flat on good to softer or softer going (based on race times not the official going), landing 101 of their 541 starts (18.7% strike-rate) for a profit of £77.03 to a £1 level stake (expected winners = 84.34, A/E = 1.20). WHISKEY PETE, a soft ground winner at York last autumn, has drawn a blank in five starts since gelded but showed more when runner-up at Ascot last time and can go one better.
MARKET RASEN 4.35
ALLMANKIND (system – James Owen, stable switchers)
In-form James Owen has a solid record at the first time of asking with horses he takes over from other handlers, scoring with 17 of the 73 qualifiers (234%) for a profit of £7.29 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 12.16, A/E = 1.40). ALLMANKIND, the outsider of the field in this Class 2 handicap hurdle, has been off the track for over 600 days but could be worth chancing on his first start since leaving Dan Skelton’s.
CHELMSFORD 4.50
MEHMASSELF AND I (system – Mehmas, Polytrack nurseries)
Progeny of the sire Mehmas are 16 from 72 in nursery company on Polytrack for a profit of £103.46 to a £1 level stake at SP, against an expected winners score of 9.21 (A/E= 1.74). MEHMMASELF AND I ran a respectable fourth at Kempton on his recent handicap debut and this track might suit better.
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Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets |
T&Cs apply. New cust only. Deposit & Place a Bet within 7 days, and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater, to be credited with 3x £10 Free Bets: 1 x £10 Horse Racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 Football. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+ BeGambleAware.org.
T&Cs apply. New cust only. Deposit & Place a Bet within 7 days, and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater, to be credited with 3x £10 Free Bets: 1 x £10 Horse Racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 Football. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+ BeGambleAware.org. |
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