Horse racing tips: St Leger 2024 predictions, preview and best bets for Doncaster Classic – Saturday 14th September
The St Leger 2024 will take place at Doncaster on Saturday at 3:40pm as part of the St. Leger Festival day three. This isthe final Classic of the year and it should be a cracking renewal. Read on to find the completed previews and best bet for this contest.
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St Leger 2024 Preview, Predictions And Best Bets
Can Aidan O’Brien Dominate the 2024 St Leger Once Again?
- Jan Brueghel remains unbeaten after three starts, each time showing improved stamina and racecraft.
- Grosvenor Square’s latest victory came by an astounding 20 lengths, though his front-running style may not suit Doncaster’s long, testing straight.
- You Got To Me will receive a 3lb allowance as a filly, which could be significant in such a tight race.
Best Bet
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As the sun sets on another thrilling season of British flat racing, the attention turns to Doncaster for the final Classic of the year, the St Leger. This prestigious race, run over a testing 14 furlongs, is a true examination of stamina, strength, and tactical nous. Aidan O’Brien, the legendary trainer, has a strong hand in this year’s renewal, saddling three of the top four in the betting. With Illinois, Jan Brueghel, and Grosvenor Square all representing Ballydoyle, O’Brien seems well-positioned to claim his eighth St Leger title.
However, O’Brien’s challengers won’t have it all their own way. You Got To Me, a filly trained by Ralph Beckett, enters the race with excellent credentials after a strong season. Her victory in the Irish Oaks and runner-up finish in the Yorkshire Oaks underline her class. David Menuisier’s Sunway also presents a formidable threat, having shown his mettle by coming close in the Irish Derby. The race looks set to be a fascinating contest, with multiple narratives unfolding as the field heads down the long Doncaster straight.
In a race of this magnitude, finding the right balance between stamina and tactical positioning is critical. The long distance tests not only the staying power of the horses but also the judgment of the jockeys. Any horse that lacks the ability to maintain a strong gallop throughout the race will struggle, particularly given the quality of the field this year. With no rain forecast, conditions should be perfect for a fast, competitive race.
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The non-Ballydoyle runners will pose significant challenges. You Got To Me, representing Ralph Beckett, brings with her a string of excellent performances. Her victory in the Irish Oaks and strong showing in the Yorkshire Oaks provide proof of her stamina and class. She will receive a 3lb allowance as a filly, which could play an important role in a race of this nature. That said, there’s a question mark over whether she can match the physicality of her male counterparts, especially on a course as demanding as Doncaster.
Sunway, on the other hand, has shown flashes of brilliance but faces doubts about his ability to handle the extended trip. His close finish in the Irish Derby suggests he has the class, but the St Leger demands more than just a burst of speed – it requires sustained power and endurance. Sunway’s relative inexperience over this distance makes him a riskier proposition compared to the more proven stayer, Jan Brueghel.
Deira Mile and Wild Waves complete the field, with both priced as long shots. Deira Mile’s recent form suggests he may struggle with the step up in distance, while Wild Waves, although an outsider, has shown promise and could surprise if things fall his way. However, neither seems to have the overall class or stamina to truly challenge for the win.
Best Bet for the St Leger 2024: Jan Brueghel Looks Poised to Shine
After thoroughly analysing the contenders, Jan Brueghel emerges as the best bet for this year’s St Leger. While Illinois, the favourite, has earned his position at the head of the market with a solid campaign, Jan Brueghel offers exceptional value and, crucially, seems to have untapped potential. The colt, unbeaten in his three career starts, has improved with each race. His most recent victory in the Gordon Stakes at Goodwood, while not visually spectacular, demonstrated both his talent and room for growth.
Grosvenor Square, another Ballydoyle runner, may set a fierce pace. This front-running tactic could shape the dynamics of the race. If the expected pace materialises, it will make the St Leger a true test of endurance. This scenario could play directly into Jan Brueghel’s hands. His size and stamina, hallmarks of his Galileo lineage, suggest he will relish such conditions, especially with Sean Levey in the saddle. Grosvenor Square’s tendency to burn early could also prove advantageous for Jan Brueghel, who has shown a capacity to grind down his rivals in the closing stages.
Illinois, though a deserved favourite, may not offer enough value at current odds. His performance in the Great Voltigeur and his previous success in the Queen’s Vase confirm his quality, but Jan Brueghel’s upward trajectory indicates he may possess the superior finishing power in what could be a grueling race. It’s also worth noting that Wayne Lordan’s decision to ride Illinois over Jan Brueghel could simply be based on the former’s established form, rather than a true indication of which horse is currently the sharper prospect.
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Please gamble responsibly (18+ begambleaware). The odds and predictions mentioned are based on the information available at the time and may change as the race day approaches.
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