Liverpool v Nottingham Forest (20:00 GMT)
Forest have been described as the Premier League’s best counter-attackers, but the statistics say otherwise.
Their 33 fast breaks have culminated in 29 shots but just four goals. It is a surprisingly low number considering how dangerous Forest have been.
Tottenham have scored the most breakaway goals – 10 – while Chelsea, Liverpool and Wolves have all scored more than Forest.
Elanga has three goals in his past five games – but they were his first since last February. He has four assists, too, while Hudson-Odoi has two goals and two assists. There is little doubt there needs to be more end product from both.
Forest have a conversion rate of 31.9% for their big chances, scoring 15 of their 47. Elanga and Hudson-Odoi have created six such chances between them, the same number as Morgan Gibbs-White.
Their possession is also the lowest in the Premier League at 39.4% and only the bottom five of Everton, Ipswich, Leicester, Wolves and Southampton have a worse xG – their expected goals tally – than Forest’s 25.9.
Nuno’s side have made just 929 passes into the final third, with only Southampton [887] and Ipswich [925] managing fewer. Arsenal top that chart with 3,192.
Ronnie Kelly had a goal chalked off as Pickering dominated the opening half-hour, but they were ultimately made to pay for not taking their chances.
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