England (ENG) faced a defeat against South Africa (SA) by seven runs in their second Super 8 match of the ongoing T20 World Cup 2024 on June 21 at the Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium, Gros Islet, St Lucia. Interestingly, despite losing to South Africa, England still have a healthy chance of making it to the semi-finals of the T20 World Cup 2024. Even West Indies have a good chance of reaching the semi-finals, for that matter.
South Africa, England and the West Indies all have a solid opportunity to progress to the semi-finals based on the current standings. England currently occupy the third position in the Group 2 points table. South Africa have won all their matches in the tournament but still have more to do to secure a spot in the semi-finals. Meanwhile, West Indies bounced back from their defeat to England in the first Super 8 match with a remarkable nine-wicket victory over United States in Barbados.
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For England, simply defeating United States will not suffice to qualify for the semi-finals. They must first secure a win in their next T20 World Cup match against USA and enhance their Net Run Rate (NRR). Afterward, their fate will hinge on the outcome of the match between South Africa and West Indies because even if South Africa lose, England must have a better NRR than the defending champions England or West Indies to go through to the semis as all three teams will be on four points.
South Africa’s path to the semi-finals is clear-cut from this point. They must secure a victory against West Indies to ensure qualification. However, a loss in their final Super 8 game could jeopardise their chances, potentially leading to elimination based on NRR. Currently, South Africa have an NRR of +0.625, slightly ahead of England’s +0.412 but significantly below West Indies’ +1.814.
As for West Indies, their scenario is straightforward too— they need a win against South Africa to secure a spot in the semi-finals. A victory would tie them with South Africa on 4 points, but West Indies would advance due to their superior NRR.
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