Mr Bailey will say the changed relationship with the EU has “weighed” on the economy.
“The impact on trade seems to be more in goods than services… But it underlines why we must be alert to and welcome opportunities to rebuild relations while respecting the decision of the British people.”
Mr Bailey will also say the UK should not focus “just on the effects of Brexit”, warning about the “broader fragmentation of the global economy”.
His Brexit comments go much further than he previously has on the topic. Last November, he said the decision had “led to a reduction in the openness of the UK economy”.
Assessing the impact of the UK’s decision to leave the EU on the economy has been tricky given the multiple economic shocks in recent years.
The Office for Budget Responsibility and other independent analysts estimate the economy is 4% smaller over the past 15 years as a result.
Goods trade, especially in food and farm exports, has been especially hit by the imposition of new trade barriers. Trade in services, such as banking, has done better than expected, however.
The government remains opposed to rejoining the EU, but Prime Minister Keir Starmer and some EU politicians have said there could be a better relationship.
Spain’s Finance Minister Carlos Cuerpo told the BBC: “We need to be positive here and optimistic that a better deal can be actually closed on that front.”
A UK government spokesperson said: “We are committed to resetting our relationship with our European partners… and improving our trade and investment relationship.”
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