Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew heads to the meetings at Perth and Southwell (AW) for his two stats-based selections on Thursday, September 26th…
PERTH 4.45
SKYJACK HIJACK (system – 3m+ handicap hurdles, last time out winners, speed angle)
Last time out winners have a cracking record in handicap hurdles over 3m or further, especially when their win was achieved in a fast time (defined as a Proform figure of 67 or higher). Since the beginning of 2012, 135 of the 495 qualifiers (27.3% strike-rate) proved successful for a profit of £133.78 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 104.12, A/E = 1.30). The form of SKYJACK HIJACK ‘s heavy-ground Cartmel win was let down by the runner-up Lady Harriet at Fontwell earlier this week but the Jennie Candlish-trained six-year-old remains open to improvement on only his sixth start and won’t have a problem with the faster going.
SOUTHWELL 8.00
ZOLA POWER (system – Robert Cowell, first run since gelded, 5f handicaps)
Robert Cowell has a solid record with newly gelded runners in 5f handicaps, scoring with nine of the 38 qualifiers since the beginning of 2012 for a profit of £54.29 to a £1 level stake at SP. ZOLA POWER lost his way after making a winning stable debut for Mick Appleby at Wolverhampton in early January but could be revitalised by another change of scenery.
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